Friday, July 1, 2011

Anyim’s Job: An Orchid for Ndiigbo or an Intriguer’s Bait


Anyim’s Job: An Orchid for Ndiigbo or an Intriguer’s Bait
  

For Ndiigbo, the macabre politics now playing out over the allotment of national offices might seem proper, if not divinely induced. But where some see orchids, others discern well-concealed pitfalls... These developments open up channels for those who would seek retaliation and oppose southeast’s claim to the presidency in 2015 on the grounds that zoning died in 2011.
As Nigeria celebrates its recent electoral reform successes, the seemingly hitch-free leadership transition, and contemplates the future of its nascent democracy, some nagging thoughts recur.  Is all that is happening politically Kosher and in the national interest? And have we heard the last of how best to strike a power and resource sharing balance in ways that even if not every geopolitical zone is satisfied, at least every zone will be equally unhappy.  That is called compromise!
 The recent doling out of national offices by the ruling party has ruffled some feathers, while in some quarters, there is understandable gloating. But is this the way things should be in a progressive democracy that attaches great premium to equity, balance and common ownership?  Was the mantra of the ruling NPN in the Second Republic not “one nation one destiny”, which underlined a commonality of shared interest and fairness?
 With the calming, beneficial and unfailing influence of hindsight, I have facetiously wondered what the state of political play in Nigeria would have been, had the political strategists in General Muhamadu Buhari’s CPC camp offered Anyim Pius Anyim the position of being Buhari’s running mate, with the clear understanding that Buhari, like President Goodluck Jonathan, would not seek a second term in 2015. This, of course, would not happen without the usual faux alliances or carpet-crossing.  But ponder that scenario momentarily.
 This supposition, if it were ever conceivable, is now a moot point. But then this pundit just can’t help thinking of it; more so now that Anyim Anyim has emerged as the Secretary to the Government of the Federation (SGF), presumably by Igbo consensus. Still there is a certain irony in the evolving trends and political calisthenics, which are resulting in unintended power shifts. Put together, recent events relating to allocation of national offices are clear indicators of how difficult it is to navigate Nigeria’s political landscape and indeed, discern reality from actuality.
 To some, Anyim’s emergence could be a sign of Ndiigbo finally getting their act together; and hence a development that could be well-leveraged into an effective presidential slot and run in 2015.  Such thinking is precipitate if not back by any strategic plan. I am averse to the notion of an “Igbo presidency”, which carries with it certain connotations. Rather, I am all for an Igbo candidate for the Nigerian presidency.  Call it semantics or parsing the issue, but my point should clear.
 My point afore, is one which seems to resonate with Ohanaeze Ndiigbo, which reportedly played a pivotal role in Anyim’s emergence. The President of Ohanaeze, Chief Ralph Uwechue has already marked Anyim’s appointment as the veritable sign of a new beginning for Ndiigbo and perhaps for Nigeria.  But there remains a murky constitutional issue in tow, since overall, the constitutional order of federal character has been breached, even if unwittingly. So a bad precedent has been set.
 Nevertheless, what is clear is that Ndiigbo either did their homework this time around or that fate smiled on them. Out of the Obudu Retreat, Anyim’s name was reportedly not on the table, since the Igbo focus was on the Speaker of the House. Reliable sources hinted that President Jonathan had earmarked for that slot, an Igbo lady who once served as Foreign Minister, who had impeccable policy and administration credentials, but was not from the southeast zone.  In classical Nigerian politics, what turned out to be less geopolitical balancing but more of ethnic chauvinism, won the day thus creating an obvious constitutional imbalance. 
 But some underline the putative value of Anyim’s emergence as an overriding consideration. In the main, Anyim was considered for his soundness -- a safe hand (comparatively to Ojo Maduekwe and others), who had safely navigated the vagaries of the Senate Presidency and survived where several men considered more politically astute and nimble than him, had crashed (See,” The prerogatives of power: The case of Anyim P. Anyim”). Indubitably, Anyim’s appointment will assuage some Igbo folks but not all, and especially not those who coveted the Speaker of the House, the number three ranking job in the nation.  That was not to be, thanks reportedly to the scheming of former president Olusegun Obasanjo, who, using his clout and control of the PDP Board of Trustees, ensured that slot of the Speaker of the House was to be retained by the southwest zone. By a twist of fate and some say retribution, that too, was not to be eventually.
 For Ndiigbo, Anyim’s appointment can be seen as the proverbial half-full glass.  Ndiigbo lost the PDP Chairmanship and got the SGF, but the political needs-expectation-and- entitlement scale is still unbalanced. What and how much support Anyim gets and how much political mileage he is able to leverage that position – not necessarily in a Machiavellian sense—will determine if the position is worth the marbles.  Despite his behemoth physical size, he must be low-keyed and unobtrusive, like U. J. Ekaette and Yayale Ahmed, but essentially, he must not be perceived as insensately ambitious or politically overbearing as Babagana Kingibe.
 Also, Anyim can drive Nigeria’s much needed reform and transformative policies and their efficient implementation, if he rises above the political fray and does not allow himself to be dragged into partisan politics.  True, he is Igbo, but he must serve in the interest of all Nigerians.  He should not let self-serving Igbo charlatans distract him from discharging tasks within his unenviable remit, which will include policy coordination, as well as oversight of governmental ministries, parastatals, and related agencies, that fall under the Cabinet Office. He has the sole responsibility for the administration of the Federal Executive Council.  If there is one task, he must assist the president with; it is cutting down on the cost of running the central government, which has escalated against the need to ensure diverse representation and geographic balance. 
 President Jonathan has already indicated that Anyim’s role includes driving the reform and transformation agenda.  In that context, Anyim will need every goodwill and experience he garnered as a lawyer, senator, and Senate President for this new job.  More importantly, he will need the lessons he gleaned in the many years he was out of office and as a private citizen, to guide him.  From the latter position, he must have garnered invaluable lessons, on how not to serve public interest in self-serving ways. Of his role, Anyim said, “I will fit into the vision of the President. I will help to drive his vision to the best of my abilities.”  Forthcoming and accommodating as his pledge is, this disposition should in no way be synonymous with being a yes-man. What the President needs henceforth are men about him, who are honest, forthright and loyal, but not afraid to look him in the eyes and call a spade a spade or disagree on policy direction.  He also needs men who can shield him from his own party and the extremist sharks within without being spoilers.
 It would be of invaluable worth to take the present position of Ndiigbo for its presumed added value, by discounting subplots and the groundswell of subterfuge that are commonplace in Nigerian politics. Apropos Anyim’s emergence, Ohanaeze claim to have “consulted heavily amongst ourselves and the governors,” and “suggesting names to the president”. That may all be true, but for Nigerians, it is commonly known that the expressed and vital interest of Ndiigbo was never the SGF as it was the Speaker of the House, which though initially zoned to the southwest, has now be de-zoned by popular fiat and given to the north-west. 
Indisputably, the election of Hon. Aminu Tambuwal, a three-term member from Sokoto State as the new House Speaker, over the party-mandated Mulikat Akande-Adeola from the Southwest speaks to the vagaries of Nigeria politics. Many of those who voted for Tambuwal, crossed political zone and party lines in doing so, and those within the ruling PDP justified their stance by saying that the PDP National Working Committee (NWC) did not consult them. Thus, they basically voted their conscience, asserted their independence or cast protest votes over the upending of zoning in selecting the presidential candidate.  As regards the latter, those who truncated zoning paved the path for Tambuwal to emerge, since he was encouraged to join the fray by northern and southern political leaders who felt aggrieved by the party’s handling of its zoning policy.
 Coincidentally, the north and the southeast, two zones which felt most disenfranchised by the scuttling of the PDP zoning policy, seems to be the beneficiaries of the fallout of this fractious politics.  A corollary to this fallout of the zoning fiasco was the arrest of former House Speaker Demeji Bankole, which has further compounded the political loss for the south-west. When former House Speaker Patricia Etteh lost her position in 2007, the south-west did not lose the slot.  So to some, the diametric loss for the south-west is perhaps a poetic justice reward of sorts for PDP chieftain former president Olusegun Obasanjo, whom many in the south-east and north-west have always considered the intriguer, who “killed” zoning after benefiting from it. To them those instrumental to upending zoning, which essentially cost the north the presidency, had to pay a price: it seemed only rational that the import and pains of such Machiavellianism should be felt all around.
 In a broader sense and in reality no one anticipated the present status quo which is a reverse for PDP. The north has produced the Vice-President Namadi Sambo, Senate President David Mark, House Speaker Aminu Tambuwal and the Chief Justice of the Nigeria Aloysius Iyorgyer Katsina-Alu.  The South-East has SGF Anyim Pius Anyim, Deputy Senate President Ike Ekweremadu, and Deputy House Speaker Emeka Ihedioha. For its part, the South West has no national official – an inadvertent but still clear breach of the constitutional dictate requiring federal character.  There may be some veracity in the remarks by acting National Chairman of PDP, Alhaji Bello Haliru Mohammed, that “[the] election will not mean the end of zoning because even if we don’t take zoning as a policy, PDP is a party of equity and fair play. And equity and fair play demand that of the major positions, at the party and the government, each section of this country should have at least one position or the other so that we can achieve peace and stability.”  
 This is PDP doubletalk at its best! Still this development is fraught with imponderables for Nigerian politics and our political leaders and historians must recognize these actions not mere happenstance but as precursors to the crisis ahead. The piqued undertones accompanying southwest losses and the north-west and southeast triumphalism over their gains are noteworthy. They are evocative of long-standing dichotomies that have dogged east-west political relations.  Whereas southeast politicians did not hatch the plot that led to southwest losses, they risk the blame due to the incivility and gloating in some quarters. As an Igbo saying goes: “the dog eats the excrement and the goat that gets the rotted teeth”. 
 For Ndiigbo, the macabre politics now playing out over the allotment of national offices might seem proper, if not divinely induced. But where some see orchids, others discern well-concealed pitfalls. Either way, there are great stakes at play. The actuality is that the return of David Mark from the north-central zone seems only proper, so that after eight years the position may rotate out without dispute. Same privilege should have been accorded the southwest. After all, the southeast enjoyed its full eight-year senate presidency tenure under Obasanjo. For Ndiigbo to be perceived as joining others to upend the southwest’s retention of the House Speaker’s slot, after being allotted the SGF, would open up channels for those who would seek retaliation and oppose southeast’s claim to the presidency in 2015 on the grounds that zoning died in 2011. Go figure. 


Unquiet Times: Jonathan, Nehemiah and the Test of Leadership


Unquiet Times: Jonathan, Nehemiah and the Test of Leadership

WASHINGTON DICK
Monday, June 27, 2011

They say that we, Nigerians, are a very happy and optimistic people. At least so scientific surveys say lead the rational actor to conclude. But it is becoming increasingly very hard these days to find Nigerians who are optimistic and happy about their country. Indeed, many of our compatriots will think that you are crazy were you to echo the view held by some foreigners, the peripatetic economist Jeffrey Sachs for example, that Nigeria is on the upswing. You will not convince many no matter how fervently you appeal to the data. For many Nigerians, these are very unquiet times.

The confidence of Nigerians has been shaken by a series of events since the 2011 elections that were so filled with hope. The bombing of the Police Headquarters, Abuja, the ease with which terrorists can attack, the return of kidnapping in Rivers State, the apparent difficulties that President is having in putting his cabinet together, the caliber of persons rumored to be on the list of possible Federal Ministers, and the corruption, and it is easy to understand why for many Nigerians, if not most Nigerians, these are very unquiet times.

A lot of people are carrying in their heads the notion that our country is heading down the path of destruction. In some these thoughts are unarticulated. Many believe these problems cannot be fixed and that Nigeria is doomed. The pages of our newspapers and the Nigerian social media are filled with compatriots who are lamenting the evil fate that has befallen the country. Many mourn and lament. Like Jeremiah. A not insignificant minority foresee the dis-membership and
demise of the country as we know it. They sit in death watch, waiting for the last breadth of the nearly 100-year old “geographical expression.”

Even some of our friends are becoming openly concerned about our unquiet times. According to some media reports, the Americans have advised our President to settle down and begin to govern. The Archbishop of Canterbury sent an envoy to whom the President reaffirmed his commitment to govern with the fear of God. It is unlikely the President is a happy camper at this time. The warm and reassuring smile must by now be a touch subdued, his nights might be shorter and his rich head of hair is visibly whiter.

The 2011 elections, which now have receded in our collective memory, had given us so much joy and so much reason to hope. Candidate Jonathan represented for many the possibilities of what our country could become. The outcome gave the nation so much to be happy about, in spite of the violence that ensued in its wake.

No-one ever said that governing Nigeria is easy. Polarised by many cleavages, reaching a consensus on the many challenges facing the country, including on stemming the mind-boggling looting of the treasury, is not easy. Notice how many people have come out to defend Bankole and Ibori. The President’s inaugural address was filled with messages of hope. But after several weeks of bad news and undue delay in setting up the government, faith in him is increasingly
losing appeal, strength; it (the hope) is no longer as inspirational as it was in the run up to the election and the days after. The “Jonathanistas”, although not yet experiencing “buyer’s remorse”, are beginning to consider the doubts raised by the opposition during the campaign.

Many Jonathanistas are disappointed by the gold rush characteristics that Ministerial appointment has acquired and the apparent absence of a firm presidential hand to extinguish it. Unquiet times call for uncommon and brave leadership. President Jonathan has the possibility of providing uncommon and courageous leadership. Clearly, there is no single best way to do that other than to just do it. There is no institutional formula for success. History shows and reason leads us to expect that success formula will be different and variable. A leader has to attach the highest priority to finding out what combinations are likely to prove successful. A leader just has to do it.

This is probably what the President has been doing in his efforts to cobble together a cabinet that will serve the Nigerian people. But many Nigerians believe that he could have gone about it differently and swiftly. Clearly, his caution is informed by the complexity of our polity and the many tensions and interests that must be taken account of. There are many polities as complex, if not more complex than ours. Biblical Israel was very complex. The President is a Christian and knows that. His names say so. He identifies himself as one. We recall the iconic photograph of the President kneeling before a man of God, in prayer, seeking God’s guidance in the run up to the elections. The Christian Bible presents many leadership models for dealing with a very complex polity.

In setting up his Cabinet, Jonathan may wish to look to Jesus Christ. Christ did not consult many people in choosing his twelve. He just said “I will make you fishers of men, if you will follow me.” In similar measure, President Jonathan should say to a few Nigerians in whose competence and patriotism he has faith, “ Join me if you agree with me on the vision that I have for this country and I will make you transformers and change agents of our country, if you will follow me.”

But perhaps the most apt leadership model for President Jonathan in these very unquiet times is Nehemiah who provided leadership to the Jews in very unquiet times too. Nehemiah was the cupbearer of Persian Emperor, Artaxerxes, and thus like, Jonathan before his elevation to President upon the death of Umar Yar’Adua, the second in command.

Nehemiah received news that the walls of Jerusalem were in great disrepair and that the Jewish people still left there were in great distress. He asked his boss, the Emperor, for permission to go to rebuild the walls of Jerusalem. And his boss agreed.

There is a parallel between Jonathan and Nehemiah. He knew that Nigeria was and is in great distress. After several months of thinking and reflection (and perhaps praying) he asked us, the Nigerian people, for permission to rebuild our wall, our hopes and dreams and aspirations based on the vision of Nigeria that he shared with us during the campaign. We agreed with him and voted for him for president of our country.

In these unquiet times, a major test of his leadership has arisen in the choice of those who would help him to rebuild the walls of our country, to rebuild our faith and hope in our country. President Jonathan should search no further for a model leader in unquiet and troubled times on how to build a winning team than Nehemiah. As he assembles his team, his eyes must remain on the prize; not the stars and starlets, but on the promises that he made to the Nigerian people. A
jumbo or lucrative or plum Ministry does not a capable Minister make. After all, a good team of uneducated but capable fishermen carried forward the message of Christ. They succeeded principally because they were a team, at one with their leader. Jonathan must avoid creating competing centres of power or unwittingly creating needless rivalries and jealousies among members of his team. The Nigerian Constitution does not have a provision for a Prime Minister.

Nehemiah gained the trust of the Jewish people. With that he built a team that enabled him to achieve his vision. Similarly, the President earned the trust of the Nigerian people at the last election. He earned enormous, in the words of George W. Bush, political capital. It will be a tragedy if he does not use that trust to build a team that will enable him to achieve his vision, a vision that is increasingly being forgotten in the mad gold rush for ministerial appointment.

None of the Apostles of Christ was a standout before they were chosen. But they got the job done and some became standouts. Nehemiah was imperfect. He had a tendency to appropriate all the credit and created the impression, some will argue, that he was indispensable to the cause. But, in the final analysis, unlike Ezra, he got the job done. None among those who with him rebuilt the walls of Jerusalem in fifty-two days was a standout. But they got the job done despite all odds, because they were all capable and committed to the vision.

We cannot presume to understand these unquiet times better than the President. We can only make suggestions as responsible citizens of a participatory democracy that we hope, should he chance upon them, will be worthy of his consideration. The Senate will approve the nominees and the President will constitute them into a team. In these unquiet times, we pray that God will give our President the wisdom and courage to make the right choices and to provide the
leadership that our country sorely needs. He has enormous potential to do so.